According to analysts, Nintendo’s upcoming mobile platformerSuper Mario Runis set to make $71 million in its first month, putting it behindPokemon GOandClash Royale.
Super Mario Run, Nintendo’s upcoming mobile platformer, hasn’t even been released yet but analysts are suggesting that the game could be a huge hit.Super Mario Run, which stars Mario as he runs through the Mushroom Kingdom aiming to collect as many coins as possible, has garnered huge attention from fans and it’s expected that this will translate into huge profits for Nintendo.
Additionally, Sensor Tower says that it expectsSuper Mario Runto get more than 50 million users across in its first month, which would be over 56% more users thanPokemon GOwhich got an “estimated” 32 million downloads in the same amount of time.Pokemon GOfound itself at 75 million downloadssoon after, though, so it will be interesting to see whether or not the appeal ofSuper Mario Run’s platforming gameplaycan lead it to beating that record too.
While these figures are certainly impressive,Super Mario Runhas the power to go stratospheric. The game will only be released on iOS during its initial launch and although there hundreds of millions of iPhone and iPad users, there are over 1 billion active Android devices.Super Mario Runwill launch on Android in 2017, meaning that until then its success will be somewhat restricted.
It has also been pointed out thatSuper Mario Runwon’t launch in China, either, which could also have a significant impact.Pokemon GOstill hasn’t launched in the Asian country, so it’s hard to predict exactly how wellSuper Mario Runcould do, but given that Chinese App Store revenues are expected to reach $4.6 billion this year, the new Nintendo game may miss out on a huge revenue opportunity here.
Nonetheless, an Android release and a Chinese launch will come in good time and Nintendo will no doubt be glad even ifSuper Mario Run’s success is just incredible to start with, if not phenomenal.
Super Mario Runwill be released on iOS on May 31, 2025.
